Comments on: The Endless Moon vs. Mars debate http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/ Fri, 03 Aug 2018 06:04:06 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.9.8 By: Joe http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5945 Sat, 28 Jan 2017 14:23:56 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5945 Paul,

Thanks. I worked on Constellation Systems in Requirements/Verification Requirements for the EVA System from February 2007 to November 2010 and had the chance to observe (but not directly participate in) the whole debate over the Altair’s capabilities in the Constellation Systems Architecture Requirements Document (CARD).

You are, of course, correct about introduction of methane into Altair’s propellant system.

The whole thing was driving the engineers working on the Altair “up a wall”.

Understood on the Cislunar 1000 XEUS concept. While I think design changes would occur as development proceeded, I agree it is a good starting point for developing a practical/affordable Lunar Lander.

Thanks for the link to the pitch. Did not have it before, but it is now part of my library.

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By: Paul Spudis http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5944 Sat, 28 Jan 2017 09:14:33 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5944 It’s not just the mass media — NASA and its many supporters often invoke the trite and meaningless “been there, done that” in regard to lunar return. They are incapable of imagining going to the Moon to do anything other than collect rocks and plant the flag because that is what they intend to do on Mars.

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By: Paul Spudis http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5943 Sat, 28 Jan 2017 08:17:53 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5943 Actually, a variety of prospecting data is needed for the polar deposits to pick the best candidate for mining. I gave a presentation on some techniques for robotic prospecting at the LEAG meeting in 2015 and am currently writing a journal paper based on this presentation. One of those techniques is survivable hard landers.

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By: Paul Spudis http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5942 Sat, 28 Jan 2017 08:14:04 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5942 Joe,

All correct, to the best of my knowledge. Moreover, the last design iteration of the Altair was to be powered by LOX-methane instead of LOX-LH, so as to better fit the requirements of the “Mars Forward” idea.

I was referring to the XEUS concept described in ULA’s Cislunar 1000 concept.

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By: Grand Lunar http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5941 Sat, 28 Jan 2017 04:39:54 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5941 Loved the article.

I believe a factor in the debate is the lack of information on why we should go back to the Moon and the reason behind it.

The mass media simply doesn’t report it, so the public is left with a false impression.

And unfortunately, blogs and articles by popular scientists continue to regurgitate the very things you mention in your article.

We need an aggressive tactic to get the word out that we have a better choice.

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By: Vladislaw http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5940 Sat, 28 Jan 2017 01:54:45 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5940 Dr. Spudis, You once talked about landing sensors on Luna for ice/water confirmation I believe it was and recently looked at https://www.astrobotic.com/peregrine lander. I do not recall what you said the payload package would weigh but I believe it was pretty small. I was curious, using there calculator, How much would it cost to drop one of those on the surface?

https://www.astrobotic.com/configure-mission To me looked like it would not be that expensive.

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By: John Strickland http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5939 Sat, 28 Jan 2017 01:02:05 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5939 Part of the design logic that should go into this is the operating costs. Is a clean slate vehicle cheaper to operate over a decade or more than a “jury-rigged” system (although this term may be an unfair label). Only professional engineers and businessmen working as a team can really answer such questions. Any reusable lander should be able to carry crew, or propellant or cargo either way (up or down), based on what is on top of it (crew cabin, tank, or empty flat bed).

Some of the existing designs, such as the Masten-ULA Xeus lander concept, based on an RL-10 engine and Centaur stage, would be fine for cargo and propellant but harder to use in a safe manner for crews. The crew cabin would need to leave the lander partly horizontally during an abort, which is much harder to handle during an emergency situation. Building a new, purpose-designed lunar lander might take longer and cost more, but such a lander might be safer for crew members and cheaper to operate, since the crew cabin would leave the lander vertically with a single plane of separation. Safety issues like this become much more important when there are routine (frequent) flight operations underway. Parachutes do NOT work in space.

John

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By: Joe http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5938 Sat, 28 Jan 2017 00:55:41 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5938 If I might a few points:

(1) There are more similarities between the Altair and Xeus vehicles than there might seem. Both (for instance) rely on variants of the RL-10 engines.

(2) The problem with the Altair was its constantly changing top level design requirements, because of warring objectives for the Constellation Lunar Mission (as has been well documented by Dr. Spudis on this website).
– One faction wanted a lunar base for which the Altair would be a crew transport only (with its first stage adaptable to support a one way cargo lander). That version could have been a smaller/simpler and thus cheaper lander.
– Another faction wanted a series of sortie missions to various Lunar sites to be selected (fought over) at a later date. After those missions were completed Lunar activities would have again been abandoned in favor of “pushing on” to Mars. The scenario required a larger/more complex and thus more expensive lander that (among other things) had an ascent stage that could serve not only as a transport but a base for weeks at a time in addition to carrying new rovers to each sortie site. Because those discrepancies were never resolved, the Altair ended up with requirements to serve both missions.

(3) Because of the situation described in (2) the first objective of any successful lander program must be to establish a set of very narrowly defined and stable top level requirements (e.g. what do you want the lander to do).

(4) With due respect to Masten, it would a mistake to closely conflate his assertions with ULA’s proposals. Never the less with the right requirements a lander capable of supporting the initial phases of Lunar Base development should be possible faster and cheaper than the Altair model would indicate.

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By: Vladislaw http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5937 Fri, 27 Jan 2017 23:04:36 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5937 John wrote: “The question that seems to be immediately on the table for NASA is that of the cis-lunar and lunar spacecraft design. Will they be modified, or clean slate designs? ”

Did you ever see if the GATE I & II proposals by Bigelow Aerospace were ever made public? He had a couple tug designs that looked promising.

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By: DougSpace http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/the-endless-moon-vs-mars-debate/#comment-5936 Fri, 27 Jan 2017 22:55:19 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=1565#comment-5936 Agreed. Masten told me that it would take between 1.5 and 2 years to modify one of the Centaur stages that ULS has on loan to him to be able to be a “Terrestrial Demonstrator” able to conduct the entire DV for the terminal landing sequence. Given that such a lander would be single stage, comparatively low max-Q, and the stage and RL-10 engines are well experienced, then I would tend to believe that it should cost less to develop than what it cost NASA to have SpaveX develop the F9 in a fixed-price contract. That was $390 M total which was about 1/8thr cost had it been developed using a cost-plus approach. Much less than the Altair or an SLS-derived lsmder.

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