Comments on: Direction for Space Needed http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/ Fri, 03 Aug 2018 06:04:06 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.9.8 By: Growing Interest in Lunar Resources | Spudis Lunar Resources Blog http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-2243 Wed, 29 Jan 2014 14:06:15 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-2243 […] Direction for Space Needed […]

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By: gbaikie http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-247 Wed, 12 Dec 2012 06:59:29 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-247 “If we can get the cost of crewed missions to the Moon down to on the order of $1B, that’s competitive with the cost of sophisticated rover missions. ”

Per crew, that should be fairly easy, $1B per 4 crew might be a bit harder.

Economics, might say bigger crew and staying longer, but fewer crew
and staying shorter is actually more economical for NASA.

Or a commercial enterprise is always going to try for bigger crew
[more passengers] and staying longer.
But NASA isn’t a commercial enterprise. NASA should be a non-commercial
enterprise, which is always attempting to assist US commerce and commerce in
general [in regard to space activities].

So, think NASA should focus on 1 or 2 crew, shorter time periods on the Moon
and more trips to Moon.
And similar with Manned Mars. Though a big advantage of the Moon as
compared to Mars is you do shorter trips, fewer crew and more trips.

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By: Robert Clark http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-246 Wed, 12 Dec 2012 05:14:27 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-246 Hello again Warren. I believe it can be brought down to the few hundred million dollar range if the Falcon Heavy is available since it could be done using a single launch by following the Early Lunar Access architecture, http://www.astronautix.com/craft/earccess.htm .

Bob Clark

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By: Marcel F. Williams http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-245 Tue, 11 Dec 2012 17:18:15 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-245 Johnson had 17 Saturn V rockets built. So there was no logical reason for Johnson to continue building more Saturn V rockets at that time since his administration would be over in January of 1969. In fact, only one manned Saturn V mission occurred during his remaining time in office (Apollo 8).

But enough Saturn V rockets were already built by the Johnson administration to continue the Apollo program well past Nixon’s first term in office. If Nixon wanted more, he could have had more built. And all kinds of post Apollo options were presented to him by NASA for the utilization of the Saturn V. But Nixon wouldn’t even use the last two Saturn V rockets he had available to him.

Marcel F. Williams

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By: Warren Platts http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-244 Tue, 11 Dec 2012 14:32:03 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-244 Right. I see what you’re saying: it could wind up being a sequel to the CxP movie starring Eros V, especially if the Mars faction retains control–the architecture would still be for Mars, costing $150B+, and take decades to unfold.

However, the one thing that’s changed is now there appears on the horizon a semi-viable, “commercial” proposal that’s nearly an order of magnitude cheaper than even the 2009 ULA “commercial” architecture. IF the NASA was ordered to forget about NEA’s and focus on the Moon for now, it would seem hard to argue against NOT availing themselves with surface missions for $1.5B each.

Sure, these would be simple, sample return missions leaving no lasting infrastructure, but what we need right now are scouting missions: these human missions would be cheap enough to serve the function of robotic precursor missions that have little political support–Decadal Survey doesn’t want to divert money to Lunar missions, and the HSF department doesn’t want to spend a whole lot of money on robots. For $3B/year, you could have two, high-quality, hand picked sample return missions per year.

I realize that “commercial space” is something of a misnomer; yet nevertheless these guys seem able to get things done for a lot less than people at the Marshall Space Flight Center. Politically, we could sell it as the only practical way to beat the Chinese back to the Moon! 😉

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By: Warren Platts http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-243 Tue, 11 Dec 2012 14:09:08 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-243 If we can get the cost of crewed missions to the Moon down to on the order of $1B, that’s competitive with the cost of sophisticated rover missions. This would allow a lot of basic Lunar, planetary science to be done on the Exploration dime, resulting in effect a transfer payment to the SMD, but without resulting in more robotic spacecraft.

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By: Eric Hedman http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-242 Tue, 11 Dec 2012 03:15:55 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-242 People keep forgetting it was Johnson, not Nixon, who shutdown production of Saturn V rockets before Nixon even took office.

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By: Marcel F. Williams http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-241 Mon, 10 Dec 2012 11:01:27 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-241 Nixon, a Republican, and a Democrat dominated Congress decided to end NASA’s beyond LEO program and to decommission NASA’s beyond LEO infrastructure back in the early 1970s. Politically, this was pretty easy to do since the Soviet Union had backed out of any manned beyond LEO efforts after the Apollo Moon landings.

NASA has always had an internal war between those who felt that too much money is spent on manned space travel and too little has been spent on the robotic exploration of space. However, I think it is clear that NASA’s greatest glory since the end of the Apollo era has been its robotic exploration of space. NASA has sent robots to the surface of Mars, probes to the outer planets, and spectacular observations of the universe have been made from the Hubble telescope. There is simply no private or public space organization that even comes close to what NASA has accomplished in space over the past 40 years with its unmanned machines. Its simply astonishing!

But since the end of Apollo, NASA’s manned space program has simply been a make-work program for astronauts: mere symbols of NASA’s former era of manned space pioneering.

As the new era of private commercial manned space programs rapidly approaches there are now many libertarians who believe that NASA really shouldn’t have a manned space program at all!

But a public manned space program has a totally different agenda than private profit based commercial space programs. So there is no need for one to eliminate the other since both private and public space programs are mutually beneficial to each other.

Marcel F. Williams

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By: gbaikie http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-240 Mon, 10 Dec 2012 10:48:07 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-240 “In effect, the NRC report concludes that: 1) we currently have no long-range strategic direction in space; and 2) if we had one, it is unlikely that the current agency would be able to execute it ”

Well, I could agree with this.
But this does not change political leadership, it gives the job of NASA executives to a body which could possibly be more trustworthy.
And/or perhaps such a body could be more objective.

Though no guarantees on either of those points.
And one could say one of the main purposes of NASA is to be such a body.

I would say a fundamental aspect of NASA is to help political leaders steer a path in a potential future which may involves opening the space frontier.

We could replace NASA. Or give NASA some competition in this task- at least we might get some oppositional viewpoints.
This might reduce NASA lying [yes, spinning is kinder term] to Congress by some amount.

But no doubt some could make the argument that money would corrupt it [or dingbats will corrupt it] but I would say power and distraction from purpose [the normal things] is a better explanation- but not the only problem, or major problem

One could do things which could be as successful or better in terms of re-organizing NASA.
But, there nothing stopping NASA from getting it’s act together- other than it’s executives.

But maybe all that’s needed is firing some executives who are slightly
more socialist than average, and then focus on starting markets in space.

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By: Paul Spudis http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/direction-for-space-needed/#comment-239 Mon, 10 Dec 2012 08:47:43 +0000 http://spudislunarresources.nss.org/blog/?p=158#comment-239 do you think that the NRC report might possibly result in a reorientation back to the Moon once again?

If it did, would NASA do any better this time than they did last time?

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